Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.000195 0.000212 0.000229 0.000249 0.000271 0.000295 0.000323
2024-10-13 0.000170 0.000193 0.000220 0.000252 0.000291 0.000337 0.000396
2024-10-20 0.000153 0.000179 0.000210 0.000249 0.000299 0.000361 0.000444
2024-10-27 0.000144 0.000173 0.000209 0.000256 0.000318 0.000398 0.000513
2024-11-03 0.000132 0.000161 0.000198 0.000248 0.000317 0.000409 0.000547
2024-11-10 0.000123 0.000153 0.000191 0.000245 0.000320 0.000425 0.000588
2024-11-17 0.000115 0.000145 0.000184 0.000240 0.000320 0.000436 0.000624
2024-11-24 0.000110 0.000140 0.000181 0.000240 0.000328 0.000458 0.000678
2024-12-01 0.000105 0.000135 0.000177 0.000239 0.000334 0.000478 0.000731
2024-12-08 0.000101 0.000133 0.000176 0.000242 0.000344 0.000506 0.000801
2024-12-15 0.000096 0.000128 0.000171 0.000238 0.000345 0.000518 0.000843
2024-12-22 0.000093 0.000125 0.000169 0.000239 0.000352 0.000541 0.000910
2024-12-29 0.000091 0.000123 0.000169 0.000243 0.000366 0.000578 0.001011
2025-01-05 0.000089 0.000121 0.000169 0.000247 0.000381 0.000619 0.001129
2025-01-12 0.000085 0.000117 0.000164 0.000244 0.000383 0.000636 0.001199
2025-01-19 0.000083 0.000116 0.000166 0.000250 0.000402 0.000688 0.001356
2025-01-26 0.000079 0.000111 0.000159 0.000243 0.000396 0.000690 0.001398
2025-02-02 0.000076 0.000107 0.000155 0.000239 0.000395 0.000703 0.001471
2025-02-09 0.000073 0.000103 0.000151 0.000235 0.000393 0.000712 0.001532
2025-02-16 0.000071 0.000101 0.000149 0.000235 0.000400 0.000741 0.001655
2025-02-23 0.000068 0.000099 0.000147 0.000234 0.000405 0.000767 0.001775
2025-03-02 0.000067 0.000098 0.000147 0.000237 0.000416 0.000809 0.001952
2025-03-09 0.000065 0.000095 0.000143 0.000233 0.000415 0.000821 0.002041